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Class 6A >>

Frenship
59
Burges
Final 7
Odessa
45
Monterey
Final 7
Coronado
0
Weatherford
1st 7

Class 5A >>

Canyon Randall
21
Plainview
Final 0
Sweetwater
66
Lubbock High
Final 35
Cooper
43
Idalou
Final 22

Class 4A >>

Midland Greenwood
49
Seminole
Final 36
Estacado
37
Hereford
Final 36
Roosevelt
45
Lamesa
Final 32
Muleshoe
48
Levelland
Final 46
Littlefield
28
Snyder
Final 0

Class 3A >>

Fort Stockton
49
Brownfield
Final 42
Denver City
33
Pecos
Final17
Floydada
33
Slaton
Final 6
Abernathy
24
Post
Final 21

Class 2A >>

New Deal
55
Dimmitt
Final 14
Smyer
35
Hale Center
Final 28
Friona
Olton
7:30 p.m.
Crosbyton
34
Tahoka
Final 7
Springlake-Earth
13
Morton
Final 12
Sudan
19
Ralls
Final 13
Lockney
Lubbock Christian
7:30 p.m.
Bovina
40
Plains
Final 0
Seagraves
53
Jal
Final 0
Sundown
48
Calvary Christian
Final 18

Class 1A >>

Jayton
Ropes
10 a.m. Sat.
Lorenzo
Wellman-Union
7:30 p.m.
Spur
58
Anton
Final 13
Meadow
46
Santa Anna
Final 14
New Home
64
Amherst
Final 14
Whiteface
69
Christ the King
Final 22
Borden County
78
Knox City
Final 45
Klondike
88
Dawson
Final 43
O'Donnell
77
Southland
Final 49
Petersburg
Follett
Sat. 4 p.m.

TAPPS >>

Trinity Christian
New Mexico Military
Sat. 1 p.m.
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So just which teams appear ready for a long playoff run?

This week's picks

Posted: October 24, 2012 - 11:55pm
George Watson
George Watson
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It was a simple-enough question. But I couldn’t come up with much of an answer.

“Who look like the strongest teams for the playoffs?” a colleague asked me Tuesday.

Umm ... err ... ahhh ... Hmm.

When you have to think about the answer, you really don’t have one. Good thing I haven’t had to be in a debate lately. I’d lose.

But it started me to thinking. Each week I’ve done this South Plains Top 10, ranking what I think are the top 10 teams in the area from Class 5A to Class 1A. It caused some consternation at first for some fans, but eventually things worked out.

Now, I’m not so sure.

My basis for the rankings for the first eight weeks of the season were based pretty much on record and strength of schedule, and for the most part it worked pretty well. It’s hard to argue with teams ranked by record.

Of course, some schools’ records won’t be as strong as others, and some 2-3 loss teams could end up being better than some one-loss teams.

Maybe, however, as we approach the home stretch of the season, I should rank teams as to how strong their playoff chances are. After all, the top team on the poll at the end of the season should be the last team standing in the postseason. Nothing says we can’t go back to the way it was next week.

So, without further adieu (that’s French for goodbye), here are this week’s South Plains Top 10 based on playoff projection.

1. Muleshoe (6-1)

■ The Mules have won six straight since losing the opening week to Shallowater, which we now know is nothing to sneeze at. Muleshoe is also winning big and doing so with offensive balance.

2. Frenship (6-1)

■ The Tigers will face their toughest District 4-4A test this week with Hereford. Of course, that’s what I thought last week about the clash with Monterey as well.

3. Shalllowater (7-0)

■ The Mustangs drop to three because of the unknown. Jarek Black won’t be out forever, but his absence could affect Shallowater’s seeding and playoff matchups down the road.

4. Abernathy (6-1)

■ Like Muleshoe and Frenship, the Antelopes have recovered from a tough early-season loss to reel off some wins. But a big showdown still looms the final week of the season at Post.

5. Springlake-Earth (6-1)

■ The Wolverines have recovered nicely from their one loss a few weeks ago and appear to be back on track. They’ve been aiming for a deep postseason run since before the year began.

6. Idalou (5-2)

■ Slowly but surely, the Wildcats have been building for a late-season surge, the kind that folks have become accustomed to seeing.

7. Post (6-1)

■ A strong case could surely be made to have the Antelopes higher, and their play suggests the possibility of playing for awhile. But a lack of playoff experience could hurt.

8. New Deal (5-3)

■ Talk about a team that has gotten up off the mat from earlier in the season. Coach Ron Mayo said all along this team could be very good, and they may be heading that way now.

9. Littlefield (5-2)

■ The Wildcats’ only losses are to the Nos. 3 and 6 teams in the top 10. And it appears the running game is starting to round into shape with numerous options.

10. Ralls (5-2)

■ The Jackrabbits had the week off last week to prepare for the stretch run. A solid running game and good defense could carry them far.

This week’s picks

Midland at Coronado: Some of the struggles the Bulldogs are having this year makes this game closer than it might have been, but not close enough. Midland 38, Coronado 24.

San Angelo Lake View at Lubbock High: If the Westerners want to make the playoffs, this is a game they must have. It shouldn’t be a problem. LHS 35, Lake View 7.

Motnerey at Plainview: Ditto the above for both these teams. Having its back further against the wall may give Monterey the edge it needs. Monterey 28, Plainview 13.

Hereford at Frenship: Hereford has come out of nowhere to be the 4-4A co-leader. If Tigers can limit the big plays, they will come away with the win. Frenship 31, Hereford 14.

Estacado at Seminole: What would have been a game last year for a share of the district lead is now a fight for survival to make the playoffs. Estacado 20, Seminole 13.

Andrews at Shallowater: With Black, this game is a no-brainer in favor of the Shallowater. Without him, who knows? He accounts for too much offense. Andrews 21, Shallowater 17.

Cooper at Levelland: Like Monterey, the Pirates are in dire need of a win to keep their playoff streak alive. Just be ahead by a TD or more toward the end. Cooper 28, Levelland 24.

Tulia at Roosevelt: The Eagles got up off the mat and earned a huge district win last week. But sustaining it for another week will be tough. Tulia 41, Roosevelt 31.

New Deal at Lockney: The Lions passed a huge test in limiting Hale Center’s offense last week. No reason to think there won’t be a repeat. New Deal 44, Lockney 21.

Lubbock Christian at Kennedale Fellowship: For once, the Eagles go to the Metroplex and should have an easy time of it. LCHS 45, Kennedale Fellowship 6.

Last week: 4-4

Season: 45-22 (.672)

GEORGE WATSON IS SPORTS EDITOR OF THE AVALANCHE-JOURNAL. HE CAN BE HEARD AT 6 P.M. WEDNESDAYS ON “THE HIGH SCHOOL EXPERIENCE” ON KKAM 1340 AM.

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